Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.014487 0.017909 0.022321 0.028588 0.037547 0.050386 0.071199
2025-02-02 0.010984 0.014983 0.020955 0.031130 0.049533 0.085325 0.174762
2025-02-09 0.008810 0.012720 0.019096 0.031320 0.057470 0.122787 0.376358
2025-02-16 0.007457 0.011222 0.017780 0.031578 0.065635 0.173758 0.891846
2025-02-23 0.006472 0.010054 0.016625 0.031537 0.073228 0.240516 2.496566
2025-03-02 0.005578 0.008848 0.015056 0.029900 0.075327 0.295337 7.004486
2025-03-09 0.004961 0.008026 0.014037 0.029166 0.079944 0.383856 43.756328
2025-03-16 0.004571 0.007555 0.013624 0.029810 0.090461 0.572844 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004210 0.007081 0.013096 0.029947 0.099574 0.839500 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003807 0.006467 0.012139 0.028494 0.100270 1.032240 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003503 0.006016 0.011478 0.027741 0.104212 1.386419 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003329 0.005809 0.011349 0.028660 0.119277 2.551309 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003208 0.005729 0.011598 0.031343 0.154624 10.007745 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003089 0.005643 0.011834 0.034288 0.204970 174.139325 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002886 0.005339 0.011427 0.034506 0.233357 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002710 0.005075 0.011072 0.034801 0.267262 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002546 0.004815 0.010678 0.034754 0.300095 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002352 0.004467 0.009967 0.032886 0.297882 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002206 0.004214 0.009500 0.032051 0.314645 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002111 0.004076 0.009350 0.032784 0.372839 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002012 0.003916 0.009108 0.032939 0.424741 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001884 0.003676 0.008580 0.031286 0.417671 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001784 0.003495 0.008213 0.030431 0.435224 NaN NaN